Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Manchester City | 5 | 15 | 10.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 1 | +2.0 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Manchester Utd (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Coventry (0.5) |
2 | Hull | 5 | 8 | 3.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 20 | +2.5 | +2.0 | 2:0 vs Manchester Utd (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Newcastle (-0.8) |
3 | Brighton | 5 | 10 | 6.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 10 | +2.8 | +0.3 | 3:0 vs Arsenal (+2.2) | 4:3 vs Chelsea (-1.0) |
4 | Everton | 5 | 9 | 6.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 12 | +2.6 | -0.2 | 2:0 vs Crystal Palace (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Bournemouth (-0.1) |
5 | Leeds | 5 | 9 | 7.0 | +2.0On expectation | 8 | +0.3 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Nottingham (+1.7) | 0:0 vs Crystal Palace (-1.0) |
6 | Arsenal | 5 | 12 | 10.5 | +1.5On expectation | 2 | +1.6 | -0.1 | 2:1 vs Chelsea (+1.1) | 3:0 vs Brighton (-1.9) |
7 | Brentford | 5 | 9 | 7.6 | +1.4On expectation | 6 | +2.0 | -0.7 | 3:0 vs Chelsea (+1.6) | 1:1 vs Sunderland (-0.9) |
8 | Ipswich | 5 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.4On expectation | 18 | +0.9 | +0.4 | 2:3 vs Crystal Palace (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Everton (-0.9) |
9 | Newcastle | 5 | 8 | 7.0 | +1.0On expectation | 9 | +0.4 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs Tottenham (+1.8) | 4:1 vs Leeds (-1.2) |
10 | Liverpool | 5 | 9 | 9.5 | -0.5On expectation | 3 | -2.2 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Bournemouth (+1.4) | 2:2 vs Nottingham (-1.1) |
11 | Sunderland | 5 | 4 | 5.1 | -1.1On expectation | 17 | +0.7 | -1.8 | 1:0 vs Fulham (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Ipswich (-1.4) |
12 | Chelsea | 5 | 7 | 8.2 | -1.1On expectation | 5 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 2:3 vs Fulham (+1.3) | 2:2 vs Hull (-1.5) |
13 | Coventry | 5 | 3 | 4.3 | -1.4On expectation | 19 | -2.9 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Nottingham (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Hull (-1.9) |
14 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 4 | 5.6 | -1.6On expectation | 16 | -2.4 | +0.9 | 2:3 vs Fulham (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Ipswich (-1.6) |
15 | Nottingham | 5 | 5 | 6.6 | -1.6On expectation | 11 | -3.8 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Aston Villa (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Coventry (-2.0) |
16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 4 | 6.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 14 | -2.2 | +0.2 | 2:3 vs Tottenham (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Nottingham (-1.6) |
17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 3 | 6.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 13 | -2.3 | -0.8 | 2:2 vs Newcastle (+-0.1) | 0:1 vs Liverpool (-1.2) |
18 | Fulham | 5 | 2 | 5.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 15 | -2.7 | -0.9 | 0:0 vs Liverpool (+0.3) | 2:3 vs Crystal Palace (-1.6) |
19 | Manchester Utd | 5 | 5 | 9.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 4 | -0.5 | -3.7 | 5:2 vs Ipswich (+0.7) | 2:0 vs Hull (-2.3) |
20 | Tottenham | 5 | 2 | 7.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.0 | -1.4 | 0:0 vs Nottingham (+-0.4) | 2:3 vs Aston Villa (-1.8) |