Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nottingham | 38 | 65 | 49.3 | +15.7Outperforming ++ | 12 | +3.4 | +12.3 | 0:1 vs Liverpool (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Everton (-1.7) |
2 | Brentford | 38 | 56 | 47.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | +3.3 | +5.3 | 1:2 vs Bournemouth (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Tottenham (-1.7) |
3 | Aston Villa | 38 | 66 | 58.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +6.5 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs Brentford (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Manchester Utd (-1.9) |
4 | Everton | 38 | 48 | 42.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 16 | -1.8 | +7.5 | 0:1 vs Newcastle (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Nottingham (-1.4) |
5 | Brighton | 38 | 61 | 56.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 7 | +0.5 | +4.4 | 0:1 vs Newcastle (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Everton (-1.9) |
6 | Liverpool | 38 | 84 | 79.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 1 | +2.6 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Manchester City (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Nottingham (-2.4) |
7 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 53 | 48.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 13 | -1.6 | +6.2 | 0:2 vs Manchester Utd (+2.1) | 0:2 vs West Ham (-1.7) |
8 | Fulham | 38 | 54 | 50.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 11 | -2.8 | +6.6 | 1:2 vs Chelsea (+2.3) | 1:4 vs Wolves (-2.1) |
9 | Newcastle | 38 | 66 | 62.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 5 | +3.2 | -0.0 | 1:0 vs Arsenal (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Everton (-2.4) |
10 | Bournemouth | 38 | 56 | 53.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 9 | -2.3 | +5.4 | 2:1 vs Manchester City (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Ipswich (-2.2) |
11 | Chelsea | 38 | 69 | 67.9 | +1.1On expectation | 4 | +2.9 | -1.8 | 3:1 vs Liverpool (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Ipswich (-2.2) |
12 | Wolves | 38 | 42 | 41.2 | +0.8On expectation | 17 | -2.6 | +3.4 | 1:4 vs Fulham (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Ipswich (-1.7) |
13 | West Ham | 38 | 43 | 43.2 | -0.2On expectation | 15 | -5.3 | +5.0 | 0:1 vs Arsenal (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Brentford (-1.5) |
14 | Arsenal | 38 | 74 | 76.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 2 | -2.2 | -0.0 | 0:1 vs Tottenham (+1.6) | 0:1 vs West Ham (-2.4) |
15 | Manchester City | 38 | 71 | 76.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 3 | +1.7 | -6.7 | 3:1 vs Chelsea (+1.5) | 0:4 vs Tottenham (-2.2) |
16 | Leicester | 38 | 25 | 31.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 19 | -3.6 | -2.7 | 1:2 vs Tottenham (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Nottingham (-1.3) |
17 | Ipswich | 38 | 22 | 32.3 | -10.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -12.5 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Tottenham (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Southampton (-1.7) |
18 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 42 | 54.2 | -12.2Underperforming −− | 8 | -7.0 | -5.2 | 1:2 vs Manchester City (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Nottingham (-1.9) |
19 | Tottenham | 38 | 38 | 52.4 | -14.4Underperforming −− | 10 | -9.5 | -4.9 | 0:4 vs Manchester City (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Ipswich (-2.4) |
20 | Southampton | 38 | 12 | 29.6 | -17.6Underperforming −− | 20 | -11.4 | -6.2 | 1:2 vs Ipswich (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Leicester (-1.6) |