Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aston Villa | 38 | 68 | 57.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | +7.0 | +3.7 | 0:2 vs Arsenal (+2.6) | 1:3 vs Newcastle (-1.8) |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 89 | 81.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.5 | +4.2 | 1:0 vs Manchester City (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Aston Villa (-2.4) |
3 | West Ham | 38 | 52 | 46.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 12 | +1.9 | +3.6 | 0:2 vs Arsenal (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Everton (-1.7) |
4 | Wolves | 38 | 46 | 41.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 16 | +3.1 | +1.6 | 2:1 vs Manchester City (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Sheffield Utd (-1.8) |
5 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 49 | 44.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 15 | +1.5 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs Liverpool (+2.7) | 2:1 vs Luton (-1.7) |
6 | Tottenham | 38 | 66 | 61.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 5 | +5.3 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Manchester Utd (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Wolves (-2.1) |
7 | Liverpool | 38 | 82 | 78.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 3 | +5.1 | -1.4 | 1:2 vs Newcastle (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Crystal Palace (-2.5) |
8 | Manchester City | 38 | 91 | 87.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 1 | +0.5 | +3.1 | 1:0 vs Newcastle (+1.2) | 2:1 vs Wolves (-2.3) |
9 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 60 | 57.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 7 | +0.2 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Aston Villa (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Crystal Palace (-2.1) |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 47 | 45.3 | +1.7On expectation | 14 | +2.7 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Arsenal (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Burnley (-1.9) |
11 | Bournemouth | 38 | 48 | 46.5 | +1.5On expectation | 13 | -0.0 | +1.5 | 0:3 vs Manchester Utd (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Luton (-1.7) |
12 | Everton | 38 | 48 | 46.9 | +1.1On expectation | 11 | +0.9 | +0.1 | 2:0 vs Liverpool (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Luton (-2.0) |
13 | Newcastle | 38 | 60 | 60.6 | -0.6On expectation | 6 | +5.8 | -6.4 | 1:3 vs Aston Villa (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Nottingham (-2.2) |
14 | Chelsea | 38 | 63 | 64.0 | -1.0On expectation | 4 | +1.1 | -2.1 | 1:4 vs Tottenham (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Nottingham (-2.2) |
15 | Nottingham | 38 | 36 | 39.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 17 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Chelsea (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Everton (-1.3) |
16 | Luton | 38 | 26 | 31.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 19 | -2.2 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs Everton (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Sheffield Utd (-1.9) |
17 | Brighton | 38 | 48 | 55.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -1.8 | -5.8 | 1:3 vs Manchester Utd (+1.9) | 1:3 vs West Ham (-2.1) |
18 | Brentford | 38 | 39 | 47.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -5.7 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs Chelsea (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Sheffield Utd (-1.9) |
19 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 16 | 25.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 20 | -6.0 | -4.0 | 1:3 vs Luton (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Luton (-1.5) |
20 | Burnley | 38 | 24 | 35.3 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -10.7 | -0.5 | 0:2 vs Fulham (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Nottingham (-1.2) |