Premier League 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Newcastle | 38 | 49 | 39.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 17 | +6.5 | +2.9 | 2:0 vs Arsenal (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Everton (-1.2) |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 92 | 82.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.3 | +4.9 | 0:5 vs Manchester Utd (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Leicester (-2.4) |
3 | Tottenham | 38 | 71 | 61.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +6.0 | +3.1 | 2:3 vs Manchester City (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Brighton (-2.1) |
4 | Wolves | 38 | 51 | 44.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | -2.0 | +8.6 | 0:1 vs Manchester Utd (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Brentford (-1.9) |
5 | Arsenal | 38 | 69 | 63.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +6.0 | -0.8 | 2:4 vs Chelsea (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Brighton (-2.0) |
6 | Brentford | 38 | 46 | 41.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 16 | +0.3 | +4.1 | 1:4 vs Chelsea (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Norwich (-2.0) |
7 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 48 | 44.3 | +3.8Outperforming | 15 | +3.3 | +0.4 | 0:2 vs Manchester City (+2.7) | 1:2 vs Aston Villa (-1.5) |
8 | Leicester | 38 | 52 | 48.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 10 | +6.2 | -2.7 | 1:0 vs Liverpool (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Arsenal (-1.4) |
9 | Manchester City | 38 | 93 | 89.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 1 | -0.2 | +3.5 | 0:1 vs Chelsea (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Crystal Palace (-2.6) |
10 | West Ham | 38 | 56 | 54.1 | +1.9On expectation | 7 | +2.2 | -0.3 | 3:2 vs Chelsea (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Leeds (-2.0) |
11 | Brighton | 38 | 51 | 49.3 | +1.7On expectation | 9 | -5.9 | +7.6 | 0:1 vs Tottenham (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Burnley (-2.0) |
12 | Burnley | 38 | 35 | 37.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 18 | -0.7 | -1.7 | 0:3 vs Brighton (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Norwich (-1.5) |
13 | Chelsea | 38 | 74 | 76.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 3 | -7.5 | +4.7 | 0:6 vs Southampton (+1.3) | 1:4 vs Brentford (-2.3) |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | 45 | 49.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 8 | -5.0 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Manchester Utd (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Watford (-2.0) |
15 | Southampton | 38 | 40 | 45.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.2 | -4.1 | 2:3 vs Tottenham (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Watford (-2.0) |
16 | Everton | 38 | 39 | 44.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 12 | +3.2 | -9.0 | 1:0 vs Chelsea (+2.2) | 2:5 vs Watford (-1.9) |
17 | Leeds | 38 | 38 | 44.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -7.2 | +0.6 | 2:3 vs West Ham (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Newcastle (-1.8) |
18 | Norwich | 38 | 22 | 29.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -5.6 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs Brentford (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Watford (-1.5) |
19 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 58 | 65.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 4 | -0.8 | -7.1 | 3:2 vs Tottenham (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Aston Villa (-2.3) |
20 | Watford | 38 | 23 | 33.3 | -10.3Underperforming −− | 19 | -11.0 | +0.7 | 4:1 vs Manchester Utd (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Norwich (-1.7) |
