Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | West Ham | 38 | 65 | 49.7 | +15.3Outperforming ++ | 9 | +6.8 | +8.5 | 0:3 vs Leicester (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Newcastle (-1.7) |
2 | Newcastle | 38 | 45 | 35.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 18 | +2.8 | +7.1 | 2:4 vs Leicester (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Brighton (-1.4) |
3 | Leeds | 38 | 59 | 49.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +1.4 | +8.1 | 1:2 vs Manchester City (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Aston Villa (-1.7) |
4 | Leicester | 38 | 66 | 59.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 7 | -4.3 | +11.3 | 2:5 vs Manchester City (+2.5) | 2:4 vs Newcastle (-2.3) |
5 | Everton | 38 | 59 | 52.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | -6.9 | +13.6 | 0:2 vs Liverpool (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Sheffield Utd (-2.3) |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 55 | 48.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 11 | -0.3 | +6.7 | 2:1 vs Chelsea (+2.4) | 3:2 vs Burnley (-1.8) |
7 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 74 | 68.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | -5.0 | +10.8 | 0:2 vs Manchester City (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Utd (-2.4) |
8 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 44 | 38.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 16 | +2.0 | +3.7 | 1:3 vs Manchester Utd (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Newcastle (-1.6) |
9 | Burnley | 38 | 39 | 36.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 17 | -1.7 | +4.3 | 0:1 vs Liverpool (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Newcastle (-1.6) |
10 | Arsenal | 38 | 61 | 60.7 | +0.3On expectation | 6 | -4.4 | +4.7 | 3:1 vs Chelsea (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Burnley (-2.2) |
11 | Tottenham | 38 | 62 | 62.5 | -0.5On expectation | 5 | -1.0 | +0.5 | 2:0 vs Manchester City (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Aston Villa (-2.0) |
12 | Manchester City | 38 | 86 | 86.7 | -0.7On expectation | 1 | -4.4 | +3.7 | 1:4 vs Liverpool (+1.4) | 2:5 vs Leicester (-2.4) |
13 | Wolves | 38 | 45 | 47.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 13 | -1.2 | -1.4 | 2:1 vs Chelsea (+2.2) | 2:3 vs West Brom (-2.0) |
14 | Southampton | 38 | 43 | 46.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 14 | +1.6 | -5.2 | 1:0 vs Liverpool (+2.3) | 3:0 vs West Brom (-1.7) |
15 | Chelsea | 38 | 67 | 72.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 3 | -4.0 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Manchester City (+2.0) | 2:5 vs West Brom (-2.4) |
16 | West Brom | 38 | 26 | 32.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 20 | -3.0 | -3.6 | 2:5 vs Chelsea (+2.6) | 1:5 vs Crystal Palace (-1.2) |
17 | Brighton | 38 | 41 | 48.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 12 | -5.1 | -2.4 | 3:2 vs Manchester City (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Sheffield Utd (-2.1) |
18 | Liverpool | 38 | 69 | 77.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 2 | -7.6 | -0.7 | 2:4 vs Manchester Utd (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Burnley (-2.4) |
19 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 23 | 34.5 | -11.5Underperforming −− | 19 | -3.9 | -7.7 | 1:2 vs Manchester Utd (+2.6) | 1:0 vs West Brom (-1.3) |
20 | Fulham | 38 | 28 | 40.0 | -11.9Underperforming −− | 15 | -11.6 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Liverpool (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Burnley (-1.6) |
