Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Brentford | 38 | 59 | 46.5 | +12.5Outperforming ++ | 11 | +10.0 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Manchester City (+2.7) | 2:0 vs Wolves (-1.4) |
2 | Aston Villa | 38 | 61 | 49.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 9 | +9.7 | +1.7 | 0:2 vs Chelsea (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Bournemouth (-1.7) |
3 | Fulham | 38 | 52 | 40.8 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 16 | +5.5 | +5.8 | 0:1 vs Brighton (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Bournemouth (-1.3) |
4 | Arsenal | 38 | 84 | 73.6 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.4 | +5.0 | 0:2 vs Newcastle (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Everton (-2.2) |
5 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 75 | 65.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +11.8 | -2.3 | 2:1 vs Liverpool (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Brighton (-1.9) |
6 | Newcastle | 38 | 71 | 62.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.9 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Tottenham (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Aston Villa (-1.6) |
7 | Bournemouth | 38 | 39 | 33.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 20 | +2.5 | +3.5 | 1:0 vs Liverpool (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Southampton (-1.4) |
8 | Nottingham | 38 | 38 | 33.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 19 | +10.2 | -6.0 | 1:0 vs Liverpool (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Bournemouth (-1.6) |
9 | Manchester City | 38 | 89 | 86.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 1 | +5.9 | -3.3 | 1:3 vs Arsenal (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Brentford (-2.6) |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 45 | 43.1 | +1.9On expectation | 13 | +3.0 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs West Ham (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Fulham (-1.6) |
11 | Brighton | 38 | 62 | 60.4 | +1.6On expectation | 7 | -0.2 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Manchester Utd (+2.1) | 1:5 vs Everton (-2.3) |
12 | Tottenham | 38 | 60 | 60.1 | -0.1On expectation | 8 | +3.8 | -3.9 | 1:0 vs Manchester City (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Bournemouth (-2.1) |
13 | Wolves | 38 | 41 | 42.9 | -1.9On expectation | 14 | +5.5 | -7.5 | 1:0 vs Chelsea (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Bournemouth (-1.8) |
14 | Everton | 38 | 36 | 40.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 17 | -2.2 | -2.3 | 1:5 vs Brighton (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Fulham (-1.6) |
15 | Liverpool | 38 | 67 | 74.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 2 | +3.8 | -11.3 | 1:0 vs Manchester City (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Leeds (-2.5) |
16 | West Ham | 38 | 40 | 47.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.3 | -8.2 | 1:0 vs Manchester Utd (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Crystal Palace (-1.8) |
17 | Leicester | 38 | 34 | 43.8 | -9.8Underperforming −− | 12 | -6.3 | -3.5 | 0:2 vs West Ham (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Southampton (-1.9) |
18 | Southampton | 38 | 25 | 35.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 18 | -10.4 | -0.5 | 0:1 vs Chelsea (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Everton (-1.5) |
19 | Leeds | 38 | 31 | 42.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.6 | -9.2 | 1:2 vs Liverpool (+2.6) | 1:5 vs Crystal Palace (-1.7) |
20 | Chelsea | 38 | 44 | 63.9 | -19.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -9.4 | -10.5 | 1:3 vs Bournemouth (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Southampton (-2.2) |
