Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sabah Baku | 5 | 15 | 11.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 3 | +2.3 | +1.6 | 5:0 vs Zira (+1.1) | 3:1 vs Imisli FK (0.4) |
2 | Neftci Baku | 6 | 15 | 12.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 1 | +1.4 | +1.4 | 1:3 vs Sumqayit (+1.1) | 1:0 vs Zira (-1.5) |
3 | Shamakhi | 6 | 9 | 6.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 7 | +1.4 | +0.9 | 1:4 vs Kapaz (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Qarabag (-0.6) |
4 | Zira | 6 | 10 | 8.2 | +1.8On expectation | 5 | +3.8 | -2.0 | 1:0 vs Neftci Baku (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Turan Tovuz (-1.1) |
5 | Qarabag | 5 | 13 | 11.3 | +1.7On expectation | 2 | +1.8 | -0.1 | 3:1 vs Shamakhi (+0.8) | 1:1 vs Zira (-0.8) |
6 | Kapaz | 5 | 7 | 5.6 | +1.4On expectation | 8 | +2.1 | -0.6 | 1:0 vs Turan Tovuz (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Shamakhi (-1.5) |
7 | Turan Tovuz | 6 | 11 | 11.1 | -0.1On expectation | 4 | +2.7 | -2.8 | 1:0 vs Zira (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Kapaz (-1.9) |
8 | Imisli FK | 6 | 4 | 5.1 | -1.1On expectation | 10 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Safa Baku (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Gabala (-1.2) |
9 | Safa Baku | 6 | 3 | 4.8 | -1.8On expectation | 12 | -2.2 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Gabala (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Imisli FK (-1.5) |
10 | Sumqayit | 5 | 2 | 4.8 | -2.9Underperforming | 11 | -1.7 | -1.2 | 1:1 vs Kapaz (+-0.3) | 2:1 vs Turan Tovuz (-0.9) |
11 | Araz | 6 | 2 | 5.2 | -3.1Underperforming | 9 | -1.0 | -2.1 | 2:2 vs Turan Tovuz (+0.1) | 2:1 vs Shamakhi (-1.1) |
12 | Gabala | 6 | 4 | 7.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 6 | -1.4 | -2.3 | 2:1 vs Imisli FK (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Safa Baku (-1.7) |