Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sumqayit | 36 | 57 | 40.9 | +16.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +9.2 | +6.9 | 1:2 vs Neftci Baku (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Kapaz (-1.7) |
2 | Zira | 36 | 58 | 51.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.9 | +2.7 | 0:1 vs Qarabag (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Araz (-2.0) |
3 | Qarabag | 36 | 83 | 79.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | +4.1 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Sabah Baku (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Sabail (-2.3) |
4 | Sabail | 36 | 42 | 39.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 9 | -1.5 | +4.0 | 2:1 vs Qarabag (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Gabala (-2.0) |
5 | Turan Tovuz | 36 | 48 | 46.6 | +1.4On expectation | 5 | +2.5 | -1.1 | 0:3 vs Sabah Baku (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Sabail (-1.7) |
6 | Kapaz | 36 | 35 | 34.6 | +0.4On expectation | 10 | -3.2 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs Araz (+2.3) | 1:4 vs Sabail (-1.6) |
7 | Neftci Baku | 36 | 56 | 56.7 | -0.7On expectation | 3 | +2.6 | -3.3 | 1:0 vs Zira (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Sumqayit (-2.0) |
8 | Sabah Baku | 36 | 58 | 60.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 2 | -0.2 | -2.2 | 3:2 vs Qarabag (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Turan Tovuz (-2.3) |
9 | Araz | 36 | 36 | 43.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.3 | -6.3 | 0:1 vs Zira (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Kapaz (-2.1) |
10 | Gabala | 36 | 26 | 40.0 | -14.0Underperforming −− | 8 | -6.3 | -7.8 | 2:3 vs Sabail (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Kapaz (-1.8) |