Fastest starters
Shamakhi23%
7 of their 31 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Neftci Baku30%
17 of their 57 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Sabah Baku are 2025-2026 champions — 78 pts
Their xPTS said 62.2: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
Least bad strategy
-2.0uEven the best blind strategy (over 2.5 goals) lost this season. The bookmaker margin is undefeated.
Most underrated by results
-8.5 ptsKarvan produced performances worth 9 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
31%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 34.7' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Premier League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 78 | 62.2 | +15.8 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Qarabag | 69 | 71.8 | -2.8 | |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 60 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+