Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sabah Baku | 36 | 81 | 71.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.2 | +3.8 | 2:1 vs Qarabag (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Turan Tovuz (-2.5) |
2 | Neftci Baku | 36 | 68 | 62.3 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.9 | +2.8 | 1:0 vs Sabah Baku (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Gabala (-1.9) |
3 | Qarabag | 36 | 90 | 85.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 1 | -1.2 | +5.3 | 0:4 vs Neftci Baku (+1.0) | 1:2 vs Sumqayit (-2.5) |
4 | Turan Tovuz | 36 | 39 | 35.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 8 | -3.8 | +7.4 | 0:2 vs Sabah Baku (+2.6) | 1:3 vs Shamakhi (-1.6) |
5 | Zira | 36 | 50 | 49.6 | +0.4On expectation | 5 | -2.9 | +3.3 | 1:3 vs Turan Tovuz (+1.6) | 1:3 vs Turan Tovuz (-2.0) |
6 | Kapaz | 36 | 31 | 32.3 | -1.3On expectation | 10 | +1.5 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs Sumqayit (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sumqayit (-1.7) |
7 | Gabala | 36 | 50 | 53.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 4 | -1.2 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs Neftci Baku (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Turan Tovuz (-2.0) |
8 | Sumqayit | 36 | 31 | 36.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -6.1 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Qarabag (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Kapaz (-1.5) |
9 | Shamakhi | 36 | 25 | 33.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.7 | -5.6 | 2:1 vs Sabah Baku (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Turan Tovuz (-1.4) |
10 | Sabail | 36 | 29 | 37.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 6 | +1.2 | -9.7 | 2:1 vs Sabah Baku (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Turan Tovuz (-1.6) |