Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Zira | 36 | 74 | 57.8 | +16.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.4 | +10.8 | 3:2 vs Qarabag (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Shamakhi (-2.1) |
2 | Araz | 36 | 58 | 48.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.3 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Turan Tovuz (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Turan Tovuz (-1.3) |
3 | Qarabag | 36 | 89 | 82.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.1 | +3.2 | 1:3 vs Zira (+1.0) | 1:2 vs Turan Tovuz (-2.4) |
4 | Turan Tovuz | 36 | 55 | 50.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 5 | +1.1 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs Qarabag (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Araz (-1.8) |
5 | Shamakhi | 36 | 36 | 35.6 | +0.4On expectation | 8 | -0.5 | +0.9 | 3:1 vs Sabah Baku (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Kapaz (-1.5) |
6 | Kapaz | 36 | 32 | 33.6 | -1.6On expectation | 10 | +4.6 | -6.2 | 3:2 vs Sabah Baku (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Zira (-1.3) |
7 | Sumqayit | 36 | 33 | 40.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 7 | -1.4 | -5.6 | 1:0 vs Sabah Baku (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Araz (-1.6) |
8 | Neftci Baku | 36 | 43 | 52.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -3.5 | -5.9 | 1:2 vs Zira (+2.1) | 4:3 vs Kapaz (-1.8) |
9 | Sabah Baku | 36 | 48 | 58.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 2 | -2.9 | -7.2 | 0:2 vs Neftci Baku (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Shamakhi (-2.1) |
10 | Sabail | 36 | 22 | 34.5 | -12.6Underperforming −− | 9 | -5.3 | -7.2 | 0:2 vs Sumqayit (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Shamakhi (-1.6) |