Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Neftci Baku | 28 | 59 | 48.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.4 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Qarabag (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sumqayit (-2.2) |
2 | Sumqayit | 28 | 39 | 29.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.2 | +7.9 | 0:2 vs Neftci Baku (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Sabail (-1.5) |
3 | Zira | 28 | 38 | 35.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 3 | +3.5 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Neftci Baku (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Sabah Baku (-1.7) |
4 | Sabail | 28 | 24 | 26.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 8 | +2.9 | -5.8 | 2:1 vs Sabah Baku (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Sumqayit (-1.4) |
5 | Sabah Baku | 28 | 29 | 33.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 6 | -1.5 | -3.2 | 2:1 vs Zira (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Sabail (-1.7) |
6 | Qarabag | 28 | 57 | 61.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 1 | +2.0 | -6.9 | 6:1 vs Shamakhi (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Neftci Baku (-2.0) |
7 | Gabala | 28 | 26 | 35.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.8 | -8.2 | 2:0 vs Shamakhi (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Sumqayit (-1.4) |
8 | Shamakhi | 28 | 26 | 35.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 4 | -4.3 | -5.1 | 0:2 vs Sabah Baku (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Sumqayit (-1.7) |
