Premier League 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gabala | 28 | 45 | 36.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | +2.1 | +6.7 | 0:2 vs Sabah Baku (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Sabail (-2.1) |
2 | Zira | 28 | 47 | 38.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.9 | +7.4 | 0:1 vs Neftci Baku (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Gabala (-1.7) |
3 | Qarabag | 28 | 69 | 63.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.3 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Neftci Baku (+1.4) | 3:1 vs Sabail (-2.3) |
4 | Neftci Baku | 28 | 50 | 48.9 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | -1.2 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Sabah Baku (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Sabah Baku (-1.8) |
5 | Sabah Baku | 28 | 41 | 41.1 | -0.1On expectation | 3 | -2.3 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Neftci Baku (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Gabala (-1.8) |
6 | Sabail | 28 | 15 | 20.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 8 | -1.6 | -4.3 | 3:1 vs Qarabag (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Shamakhi (-1.2) |
7 | Shamakhi | 28 | 22 | 29.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.6 | -1.7 | 3:2 vs Neftci Baku (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Gabala (-1.6) |
8 | Sumqayit | 28 | 22 | 29.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 6 | -2.3 | -5.4 | 2:0 vs Sabah Baku (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Sabail (-1.6) |
