Hacken W vs Vittsjo W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-09-13 · 13:00 CET
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LDWWLThe score model made a Hacken W win the most likely outcome at 83%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 66%). It finished 4:0 (HT 2:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Hacken W 2.76 – 0.61 Vittsjo W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hacken W win | 82.5% | 81.7% | +0.9% | ✓ |
| Draw | 11.3% | 12.1% | -0.8% | ✗ |
| Vittsjo W win | 6.2% | 6.2% | -0.0% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.6% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% | 71.1% | -5.6% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.6% | 52.7% | -9.1% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 42.4% | 48.8% | -6.4% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 72.7% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 35.9% | 49.6% | -13.6% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Hacken W 35.7 / Vittsjo W 35.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Hacken W vs Vittsjo W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.