Rosengard W vs Uppsala W
Allsvenskan Women, Sweden · 2026-09-12 · 15:00 CET
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LLLLLThe score model made a Rosengard W win the most likely outcome at 88%, with goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 81%). It finished 1:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Rosengard W 3.58 – 0.76 Uppsala W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengard W win | 87.8% | 88.0% | -0.2% | ✓ |
| Draw | 7.7% | 8.3% | -0.6% | ✗ |
| Uppsala W win | 4.4% | 3.6% | +0.8% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80.7% | 76.8% | +3.9% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 62.9% | 60.0% | +2.9% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 51.5% | 40.7% | +10.9% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 90.1% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 65.4% | 55.9% | +9.5% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Rosengard W 35.6 / Uppsala W 17.4 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Rosengard W vs Uppsala W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.