U. Cluj vs Otelul
Liga 1, Romania · 2026-09-14 · 17:00 CET
LWWWL
LLLLDThe score model made an U. Cluj win the most likely outcome at 55%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 46%). It finished 3:0 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: U. Cluj 1.64 – 0.88 Otelul.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Cluj win | 54.9% | 59.5% | -4.5% | ✓ |
| Draw | 25.3% | 23.3% | +2.0% | ✗ |
| Otelul win | 19.7% | 17.2% | +2.5% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.2% | 53.4% | -7.2% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.7% | 32.2% | -7.4% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 47.6% | 51.1% | -3.5% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 33.4% | 36.3% | -3.0% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: U. Cluj 46.3 / Otelul 44.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open U. Cluj vs Otelul in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.