FC Arges vs FC Botosani
Liga 1, Romania · 2026-09-13 · 14:00 CET
LLDLL
WDLWLThe score model made an FC Arges win the most likely outcome at 45%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 26%). It finished 1:1 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: FC Arges 1.09 – 0.67 FC Botosani.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arges win | 45.0% | 41.8% | +3.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 33.0% | 29.5% | +3.5% | ✓ |
| FC Botosani win | 22.0% | 28.6% | -6.6% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26.1% | 44.7% | -18.7% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10.4% | 24.6% | -14.3% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 33.0% | 50.8% | -17.8% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 57.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 22.5% | 30.3% | -7.9% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: FC Arges 34.7 / FC Botosani 46.6 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open FC Arges vs FC Botosani in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.