Wydad vs COD Meknes
Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-10-11 · 22:00 CET
WDWWW
DWLWLThe score model made a Wydad win the most likely outcome at 57%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 43%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Wydad 1.63 – 0.76 COD Meknes.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wydad win | 56.5% | 55.3% | +1.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.8% | 27.9% | -0.2% | ✓ |
| COD Meknes win | 15.7% | 16.7% | -1.0% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.6% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.8% | 40.7% | +2.1% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.0% | 21.7% | +0.3% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 44.5% | 42.3% | +2.2% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 64.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 29.1% | 29.1% | +0.0% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Wydad 19.6 / COD Meknes 31.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.