Werder Bremen W vs Hamburger SV W
Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany · 2026-09-11 · 18:30 CET
WLWDL
DLWLLThe score model made a Werder Bremen W win the most likely outcome at 60%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 53%). It finished 1:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Werder Bremen W 1.89 – 0.91 Hamburger SV W.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen W win | 60.2% | 62.1% | -1.9% | ✓ |
| Draw | 22.7% | 21.5% | +1.3% | ✗ |
| Hamburger SV W win | 17.1% | 16.4% | +0.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.3% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.0% | 58.3% | -5.3% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.8% | 37.8% | -7.0% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 51.0% | 54.1% | -3.1% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 68.8% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.0% | 40.5% | -10.5% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Werder Bremen W 31.6 / Hamburger SV W 19.2 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Werder Bremen W vs Hamburger SV W in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.