Mikkeli vs SJK Akatemia
Ykkonen, Finland · 2026-09-12 · 15:00 CET
DWDDL
DLDWLThe score model made a Mikkeli win the most likely outcome at 40%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 49%). It finished 1:1 (HT 0:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Mikkeli 1.38 – 1.24 SJK Akatemia.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkeli win | 40.5% | 51.1% | -10.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 25.6% | 25.0% | +0.6% | ✓ |
| SJK Akatemia win | 34.0% | 24.0% | +10.0% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.2% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.5% | 59.1% | -10.6% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.7% | 38.3% | -11.6% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 52.7% | 60.4% | -7.7% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 71.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 32.3% | 40.5% | -8.2% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Mikkeli 27.2 / SJK Akatemia 39.3 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Mikkeli vs SJK Akatemia in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.