Ekstraklasa

We simulate the remaining Ekstraklasa schedule 10,000 times a day. Lech Poznan win the 2026-2027 title in 49% of them, projecting ~59 points; Legia are next at 12%. At the other end, Wieczysta Krakow finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations. Biggest move after the latest results: Lech Poznan's title chance up 13 points in a day.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Lech Poznan	7	59	50–68	▲49%	87%	<1%
2	Legia	7	52	43–60	12%	55%	<1%
3	Jagiellonia	6	51	42–60	▼11%	52%	<1%
4	Gornik Zabrze	6	50	41–60	9%	47%	<1%
5	Pogon Szczecin	6	49	40–58	7%	40%	1%
· · ·
16	Wisla Plock	4	37	29–46	<1%	2%	27%
17	Motor Lublin	1	35	26–43	<1%	1%	41%
18	Wieczysta Krakow	0	0	0–0	—	—	>99%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 250 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/poland/ekstraklasa/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Ekstraklasa live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/poland/ekstraklasa">Ekstraklasa stats by Football Charts</a></p>

What blindly backing each market in every Ekstraklasa match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.