Ekstraklasahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Legia | 34 | 66 | 56.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +10.2 | -0.2 | 3:1 vs Rakow (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.9) |
2 | Stal Mielec | 34 | 43 | 36.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 17 | +3.6 | +3.0 | 0:2 vs Lech Poznan (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Widzew Lodz (-1.3) |
3 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 41 | 34.9 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 18 | +6.5 | -0.3 | 1:0 vs Rakow (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Stal Mielec (-1.5) |
4 | Rakow | 34 | 75 | 69.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.5 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Lech Poznan (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Korona Kielce (-2.2) |
5 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 53 | 48.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 5 | -1.6 | +6.5 | 0:1 vs Cracovia (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Zaglebie (-1.6) |
6 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 60 | 56.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 3 | +2.7 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Radomiak Radom (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Slask Wroclaw (-1.9) |
7 | Warta Poznan | 34 | 45 | 43.3 | +1.7On expectation | 11 | -2.0 | +3.7 | 0:2 vs Cracovia (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Widzew Lodz (-1.5) |
8 | Zaglebie | 34 | 45 | 43.3 | +1.7On expectation | 10 | -6.9 | +8.6 | 1:2 vs Lech Poznan (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.5) |
9 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 61 | 60.0 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | -4.0 | +5.0 | 0:2 vs Rakow (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Stal Mielec (-2.3) |
10 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 48 | 47.3 | +0.7On expectation | 6 | -3.8 | +4.5 | 0:1 vs Lech Poznan (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Legnica (-1.9) |
11 | Cracovia | 34 | 46 | 46.5 | -0.6On expectation | 7 | +3.0 | -3.5 | 3:0 vs Rakow (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.8) |
12 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 44 | 45.9 | -1.9On expectation | 8 | -6.3 | +4.5 | 1:2 vs Jagiellonia (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Korona Kielce (-1.9) |
13 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 41 | 43.0 | -1.9On expectation | 12 | +2.9 | -4.9 | 2:0 vs Pogon Szczecin (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Widzew Lodz (-1.7) |
14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 41 | 44.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 9 | -6.5 | +3.5 | 0:2 vs Jagiellonia (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Stal Mielec (-1.9) |
15 | Slask Wroclaw | 34 | 38 | 41.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | +0.1 | -3.5 | 0:2 vs Pogon Szczecin (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Zaglebie (-1.6) |
16 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 37 | 42.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 13 | +4.0 | -9.5 | 1:3 vs Lech Poznan (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Slask Wroclaw (-1.7) |
17 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 30 | 40.0 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 15 | -4.3 | -5.7 | 1:0 vs Legia (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Korona Kielce (-2.0) |
18 | Legnica | 34 | 23 | 37.2 | -14.2Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.8 | -8.4 | 0:3 vs Gornik Zabrze (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Stal Mielec (-1.7) |
