Ekstraklasahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 70 | 60.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +11.0 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Legia (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Motor Lublin (-2.1) |
2 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 49 | 40.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 14 | +1.1 | +7.6 | 1:2 vs Lech Poznan (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Cracovia (-1.6) |
3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 61 | 52.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.1 | +5.6 | 1:2 vs Rakow (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Zaglebie (-1.9) |
4 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 49 | 42.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 12 | +4.4 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Rakow (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Korona Kielce (-1.6) |
5 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 45 | 40.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 15 | +3.6 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Widzew Lodz (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Radomiak Radom (-1.5) |
6 | Rakow | 34 | 69 | 64.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 1 | -2.0 | +7.0 | 0:1 vs Lech Poznan (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Cracovia (-2.2) |
7 | Cracovia | 34 | 51 | 46.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 7 | -5.3 | +10.2 | 0:1 vs Rakow (+2.4) | 3:4 vs GKS Katowice (-1.8) |
8 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 58 | 55.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 4 | +9.8 | -7.6 | 1:0 vs Rakow (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Radomiak Radom (-1.7) |
9 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 47 | 45.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 8 | +1.9 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs Widzew Lodz (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.7) |
10 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 37 | 38.3 | -1.3On expectation | 17 | +0.3 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs Lech Poznan (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Puszcza (-1.8) |
11 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 41 | 43.0 | -2.0On expectation | 11 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 3:1 vs Legia (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Motor Lublin (-1.7) |
12 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 40 | 43.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 10 | +1.1 | -4.1 | 0:2 vs Piast Gliwice (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Korona Kielce (-1.7) |
13 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 45 | 49.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 6 | -4.7 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Rakow (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Jagiellonia (-1.8) |
14 | Puszcza | 34 | 28 | 32.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 18 | -0.4 | -4.6 | 2:0 vs Lech Poznan (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Motor Lublin (-1.4) |
15 | Legia | 34 | 54 | 59.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 3 | -2.1 | -3.3 | 1:2 vs Gornik Zabrze (+1.4) | 3:1 vs Radomiak Radom (-1.9) |
16 | Zaglebie | 34 | 36 | 41.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.3 | -2.3 | 1:3 vs Jagiellonia (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.7) |
17 | Stal Mielec | 34 | 31 | 39.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -1.8 | -6.2 | 2:0 vs Piast Gliwice (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Korona Kielce (-1.6) |
18 | Slask Wroclaw | 34 | 30 | 44.0 | -13.9Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.0 | -8.0 | 3:1 vs Lech Poznan (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Puszcza (-1.7) |
