Ekstraklasahub →Ekstraklasa 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 28 | 20.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +0.9 | +7.1 | 2:1 vs Lech Poznan (+1.7) | 2:3 vs GKS Katowice (-1.8) |
2 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 24 | 16.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 10 | +2.9 | +5.0 | 0:1 vs GKS Katowice (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Legia (-1.3) |
3 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 28 | 20.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.8 | +4.1 | 1:2 vs Legia (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Gornik Zabrze (-1.5) |
4 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 20 | 15.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 14 | +3.2 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Motor Lublin (+1.7) | 3:4 vs Wieczysta Krakow (-1.5) |
5 | Zaglebie | 12 | 19 | 14.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 15 | +4.7 | -0.2 | 2:3 vs Rakow (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Wisla Plock (-1.4) |
6 | Wisla | 12 | 21 | 17.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 6 | +7.5 | -4.2 | 2:0 vs Jagiellonia (+1.5) | 4:3 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.3) |
7 | Legia | 13 | 24 | 20.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 1 | +0.3 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Pogon Szczecin (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Lech Poznan (-1.3) |
8 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 18 | 15.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 11 | 0.0 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Widzew Lodz (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Gornik Zabrze (-1.3) |
9 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 18 | 16.5 | +1.5On expectation | 9 | +3.9 | -2.4 | 2:3 vs Gornik Zabrze (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Pogon Szczecin (-1.6) |
10 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 14 | 13.2 | +0.8On expectation | 16 | +1.3 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Rakow (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Korona Kielce (-1.4) |
11 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 15 | 15.2 | -0.2On expectation | 13 | -0.3 | +0.1 | 2:5 vs Rakow (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Widzew Lodz (-1.4) |
12 | Motor Lublin | 13 | 16 | 16.6 | -0.6On expectation | 8 | -2.0 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs Cracovia (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.5) |
13 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 9 | 12.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 18 | +0.8 | -4.3 | 2:1 vs Rakow (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Korona Kielce (-1.3) |
14 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 8 | 13.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 17 | -1.2 | -4.0 | 2:1 vs Cracovia (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.4) |
15 | Cracovia | 13 | 12 | 17.9 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 4 | -0.4 | -5.4 | 2:1 vs Rakow (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Pogon Szczecin (-1.5) |
16 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 11 | 17.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 5 | -6.0 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Jagiellonia (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Korona Kielce (-1.7) |
17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 12 | 8 | 15.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.1 | -5.6 | 3:4 vs Piast Gliwice (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Rakow (-1.7) |
18 | Rakow | 12 | 6 | 16.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.0 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs Wieczysta Krakow (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Wisla Plock (-1.9) |