Ekstraklasahub →Ekstraklasa 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 6 | 15 | 9.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +0.8 | +4.9 | 0:1 vs Cracovia (+1.7) | 2:3 vs GKS Katowice (-1.8) |
2 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 16 | 11.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 3 | +2.0 | +2.8 | 2:3 vs Widzew Lodz (+1.4) | 0:0 vs Cracovia (-1.0) |
3 | Legia | 7 | 15 | 12.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 1 | +0.9 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Pogon Szczecin (+1.6) | 1:1 vs Slask Wroclaw (-1.1) |
4 | Wisla | 8 | 14 | 11.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 2 | +5.3 | -2.7 | 2:0 vs Jagiellonia (+1.5) | 4:3 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.3) |
5 | Jagiellonia | 7 | 12 | 9.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 6 | +1.0 | +1.4 | 2:5 vs Rakow (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Widzew Lodz (-1.4) |
6 | Zaglebie | 6 | 9 | 7.4 | +1.6On expectation | 17 | +2.8 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs Piast Gliwice (+1.6) | 3:1 vs Legia (-0.8) |
7 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1On expectation | 10 | +1.5 | -0.3 | 0:2 vs Motor Lublin (+1.8) | 3:4 vs Wieczysta Krakow (-1.5) |
8 | Korona Kielce | 6 | 9 | 7.9 | +1.1On expectation | 14 | -1.6 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Widzew Lodz (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Jagiellonia (-1.1) |
9 | GKS Katowice | 6 | 9 | 8.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | +2.6 | -1.6 | 2:3 vs Gornik Zabrze (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.3) |
10 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 9 | 8.8 | +0.3On expectation | 11 | -1.1 | +1.4 | 0:2 vs Cracovia (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Legia (-1.3) |
11 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.0On expectation | 12 | +1.6 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Cracovia (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Gornik Zabrze (-1.3) |
12 | Cracovia | 7 | 8 | 9.4 | -1.4On expectation | 7 | +0.1 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Rakow (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Pogon Szczecin (-1.5) |
13 | Slask Wroclaw | 7 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.4On expectation | 16 | +1.2 | -2.6 | 2:1 vs Rakow (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Zaglebie (-1.2) |
14 | Wisla Plock | 6 | 5 | 6.6 | -1.6On expectation | 18 | -1.6 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Rakow (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Korona Kielce (-1.4) |
15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 6 | 4 | 7.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 15 | -1.8 | -1.6 | 3:4 vs Piast Gliwice (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Radomiak Radom (-1.3) |
16 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 7 | 11.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 4 | -4.7 | +0.7 | 0:2 vs Jagiellonia (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Korona Kielce (-1.7) |
17 | Motor Lublin | 8 | 5 | 9.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 9 | -2.3 | -2.0 | 1:0 vs GKS Katowice (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.5) |
18 | Rakow | 7 | 3 | 10.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.6 | -3.6 | 2:1 vs Motor Lublin (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Wisla Plock (-1.9) |