Ekstraklasa 2021-2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Wisla Plock	33	48	39.8	+8.2Outperforming ++	14	+11.3	-3.2	1:2 vs Pogon Szczecin (+2.5)	3:2 vs Leczna (-1.6)
2	Lechia Gdansk	33	54	46.4	+7.6Outperforming ++	6	+12.8	-5.3	1:0 vs Lech Poznan (+2.0)	1:2 vs Jagiellonia (-1.6)
3	Rakow	33	66	58.6	+7.4Outperforming ++	2	+1.2	+6.2	0:1 vs Lech Poznan (+2.0)	1:0 vs Zaglebie (-1.8)
4	Piast Gliwice	33	51	46.3	+4.7Outperforming	7	-1.6	+6.3	0:1 vs Legia (+1.9)	0:1 vs Warta Poznan (-1.9)
5	Pogon Szczecin	33	62	57.4	+4.6Outperforming	3	+3.2	+1.4	0:2 vs Legia (+1.8)	1:2 vs Wisla Plock (-2.3)
6	Lech Poznan	33	71	67.7	+3.3Outperforming	1	+4.8	-1.4	0:3 vs Pogon Szczecin (+1.6)	1:0 vs Jagiellonia (-1.8)
7	Radomiak Radom	33	47	43.8	+3.2Outperforming	10	+3.0	+0.2	2:1 vs Lech Poznan (+2.1)	1:0 vs Stal Mielec (-1.5)
8	Warta Poznan	33	42	39.0	+3.0Outperforming	15	-4.3	+7.3	0:1 vs Legia (+2.2)	1:2 vs Wisla Plock (-1.4)
9	Stal Mielec	33	36	33.1	+2.9Outperforming	16	+5.2	-2.3	1:3 vs Legia (+2.5)	1:2 vs Cracovia (-1.2)
10	Gornik Zabrze	33	47	46.8	+0.2On expectation	5	-1.2	+1.4	1:2 vs Rakow (+2.1)	1:2 vs Jagiellonia (-2.0)
11	Cracovia	33	43	43.9	-0.9On expectation	8	+0.3	-1.2	0:2 vs Slask Wroclaw (+1.9)	0:2 vs Leczna (-2.0)
12	Jagiellonia	33	40	41.3	-1.3On expectation	12	-1.8	+0.4	1:2 vs Gornik Zabrze (+2.2)	1:2 vs Leczna (-2.1)
13	Termalica B	17	20	21.5	-1.5On expectation	18	-1.5	0.0	4:3 vs B.-Slask Wroclaw (+1.9)	0:1 vs B.-Piast Gliwice (-1.5)
14	Leczna	33	27	29.4	-2.4Underperforming	17	+0.1	-2.5	1:2 vs Jagiellonia (+2.3)	0:4 vs Warta Poznan (-1.3)
15	Termalica B-B.	17	12	16.1	-4.1Underperforming	19	0.0	-4.1	0:4 vs Slask Wroclaw (+2.2)	1:0 vs Stal Mielec (-1.3)
16	Zaglebie	33	35	40.5	-5.5Underperforming −−	13	+0.3	-5.8	1:0 vs Rakow (+2.1)	0:1 vs Jagiellonia (-1.5)
17	Slask Wroclaw	33	35	42.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	11	-8.2	+0.7	1:2 vs Cracovia (+1.9)	0:4 vs Termalica B-B. (-1.9)
18	Legia	33	42	52.5	-10.5Underperforming −−	4	-0.3	-10.2	1:3 vs Zaglebie (+1.5)	1:3 vs Stal Mielec (-2.3)
19	Wisla	33	30	43.8	-13.8Underperforming −−	9	-5.2	-8.5	0:1 vs Gornik Zabrze (+2.0)	3:4 vs Wisla Plock (-1.9)