Ekstraklasahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Zaglebie | 34 | 48 | 39.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 17 | +3.7 | +5.0 | 0:1 vs Rakow (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Termalica B-B. (-1.8) |
2 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 50 | 42.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 13 | +8.6 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs Radomiak Radom (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.5) |
3 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 46 | 41.3 | +4.8Outperforming | 15 | +3.2 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Rakow (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Arka Gdynia (-1.7) |
4 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 56 | 52.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 5 | +0.1 | +3.9 | 0:2 vs Rakow (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Wisla Plock (-2.0) |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 56 | 52.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 4 | +3.9 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Rakow (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Motor Lublin (-2.0) |
6 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 43 | 40.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 16 | +0.5 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Gornik Zabrze (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.5) |
7 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 44 | 42.1 | +1.9On expectation | 14 | +7.0 | -5.1 | 1:2 vs Lechia Gdansk (+1.9) | 0:1 vs GKS Katowice (-1.6) |
8 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 60 | 58.2 | +1.8On expectation | 1 | -4.7 | +6.5 | 0:1 vs Gornik Zabrze (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Zaglebie (-2.0) |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 36 | 36.4 | -0.4On expectation | 18 | +8.8 | -9.2 | 0:3 vs Wisla Plock (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Termalica B-B. (-1.9) |
10 | Rakow | 34 | 55 | 56.2 | -1.2On expectation | 3 | -3.7 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Jagiellonia (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Zaglebie (-2.1) |
11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 43 | 45.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 12 | +0.1 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs Legia (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Zaglebie (-1.9) |
12 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 45 | 47.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 7 | +2.5 | -5.0 | 1:2 vs Widzew Lodz (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.8) |
13 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 43 | 46.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 9 | +1.1 | -4.9 | 1:3 vs Lech Poznan (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Zaglebie (-1.9) |
14 | Cracovia | 34 | 42 | 46.6 | -4.7Underperforming | 10 | -2.6 | -2.1 | 1:4 vs Lech Poznan (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Wisla Plock (-1.8) |
15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 41 | 45.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 11 | -4.3 | -0.6 | 1:3 vs Rakow (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Zaglebie (-1.7) |
16 | Termalica B-B. | 43 | 42 | 47.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -8.8 | +3.7 | 1:2 vs Legia (+2.5) | 0:3 vs B.-GKS Katowice (-1.4) |
17 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 42 | 50.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 6 | +2.6 | -10.6 | 0:2 vs Piast Gliwice (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Pogon Szczecin (-1.8) |
18 | Legia | 34 | 49 | 57.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 2 | -2.5 | -6.3 | 1:2 vs Lechia Gdansk (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Termalica B-B. (-2.3) |
