Ekstraklasahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warta Poznan | 30 | 43 | 32.5 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 15 | +2.0 | +8.4 | 0:1 vs Piast Gliwice (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Slask Wroclaw (-1.5) |
2 | Rakow | 30 | 59 | 50.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.3 | +5.9 | 1:3 vs Pogon Szczecin (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Lechia Gdansk (-1.8) |
3 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 52 | 45.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.9 | +2.7 | 0:4 vs Lech Poznan (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Slask Wroclaw (-1.7) |
4 | Legia | 30 | 64 | 57.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.3 | +5.9 | 2:1 vs Lech Poznan (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Stal Mielec (-2.3) |
5 | Slask Wroclaw | 30 | 43 | 37.3 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 11 | +8.3 | -2.5 | 1:0 vs Rakow (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Wisla Plock (-1.5) |
6 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 37 | 33.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 13 | +4.9 | -1.1 | 2:3 vs Lech Poznan (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Slask Wroclaw (-1.5) |
7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 41 | 39.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | +4.1 | -3.0 | 2:1 vs Lech Poznan (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Podbeskidzie (-1.7) |
8 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 42 | 41.0 | +1.0On expectation | 7 | -1.5 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Rakow (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Jagiellonia (-1.9) |
9 | Cracovia | 30 | 37 | 39.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 9 | +1.1 | -3.7 | 0:2 vs Gornik Zabrze (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Jagiellonia (-1.5) |
10 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 33 | 35.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 12 | -3.6 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Lechia Gdansk (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Warta Poznan (-1.7) |
11 | Piast Gliwice | 30 | 42 | 45.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 5 | -3.5 | +0.3 | 3:4 vs Wisla (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Wisla (-2.1) |
12 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 37 | 41.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 6 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 1:3 vs Legia (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Podbeskidzie (-1.7) |
13 | Stal Mielec | 30 | 29 | 33.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 14 | -1.2 | -2.9 | 2:3 vs Legia (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Zaglebie (-1.4) |
14 | Wisla | 30 | 33 | 38.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -7.2 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Piast Gliwice (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Warta Poznan (-1.7) |
15 | Podbeskidzie | 30 | 25 | 31.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 16 | +4.8 | -10.8 | 1:0 vs Legia (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Warta Poznan (-1.4) |
16 | Lech Poznan | 30 | 37 | 52.7 | -15.7Underperforming −− | 2 | -9.9 | -5.8 | 0:1 vs Pogon Szczecin (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Jagiellonia (-2.1) |
