Ekstraklasahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Slask Wroclaw | 34 | 63 | 45.5 | +17.5Outperforming ++ | 9 | +5.4 | +12.1 | 3:1 vs Lech Poznan (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Stal Mielec (-2.0) |
2 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 63 | 51.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 6 | +9.7 | +2.0 | 2:4 vs Cracovia (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Stal Mielec (-2.0) |
3 | Stal Mielec | 34 | 43 | 33.4 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 18 | +10.5 | -0.9 | 2:3 vs Pogon Szczecin (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Korona Kielce (-1.4) |
4 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 53 | 43.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 11 | +6.7 | +2.7 | 0:1 vs Rakow (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Stal Mielec (-1.5) |
5 | Puszcza | 34 | 40 | 34.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 16 | +9.6 | -3.9 | 2:1 vs Lech Poznan (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Piast Gliwice (-1.3) |
6 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 46 | 43.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 12 | +3.3 | -0.6 | 1:3 vs Lech Poznan (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Puszcza (-1.6) |
7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 47 | 46.2 | +0.8On expectation | 8 | +0.5 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs Pogon Szczecin (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Gornik Zabrze (-1.6) |
8 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 55 | 55.8 | -0.8On expectation | 4 | -2.5 | +1.7 | 5:0 vs Lech Poznan (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Stal Mielec (-2.4) |
9 | Warta Poznan | 34 | 37 | 39.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 14 | -2.8 | +0.6 | 2:1 vs Rakow (+2.2) | 0:1 vs LKS Lodz (-1.7) |
10 | Legia | 34 | 59 | 62.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 2 | -4.4 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Lech Poznan (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Stal Mielec (-2.4) |
11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 38 | 42.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 13 | +1.3 | -5.9 | 1:2 vs Lech Poznan (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Gornik Zabrze (-1.6) |
12 | Ruch Chorzow | 34 | 32 | 37.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 15 | -3.0 | -2.3 | 2:3 vs Slask Wroclaw (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Widzew Lodz (-1.5) |
13 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 53 | 59.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 3 | -1.9 | -5.0 | 1:2 vs Jagiellonia (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Widzew Lodz (-2.1) |
14 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 38 | 45.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -8.6 | +1.4 | 0:3 vs Legia (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Stal Mielec (-1.7) |
15 | Cracovia | 34 | 39 | 47.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.4 | -2.9 | 1:3 vs Jagiellonia (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Warta Poznan (-1.9) |
16 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 43 | 52.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.8 | -8.4 | 0:1 vs Lech Poznan (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Gornik Zabrze (-1.7) |
17 | LKS Lodz | 34 | 24 | 33.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 17 | -0.4 | -9.5 | 0:1 vs Warta Poznan (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Cracovia (-1.4) |
18 | Rakow | 34 | 52 | 62.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 1 | +0.5 | -11.3 | 1:2 vs Legia (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Gornik Zabrze (-2.1) |
