CE Europa – Algeciras

Primera RFEF - Group 2, Spain · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · full time 2-1 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.78	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.34	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.07	−8.0%
Betfair (net)	3.18	−4.5%
bet365	2.85	−14.6%

€154 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.78	3.34	3.19	2.85
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.86	3.43	3.23	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.10	2.45	2.37	2.20
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.98	2.29	2.14	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.02	1.77	1.75	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.10	3.43	3.19	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.48	1.41	1.37	1.30
Both teams to score · No	2.16	2.04	1.99	1.79
Both teams to score · Yes	1.86	1.96	1.84	1.79

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.