Latina Calcio – Atalanta BC U23

Serie C - Group B, Italy · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 13:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.63	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.35	−7.6%
Betfair (net)	3.47	−4.3%
bet365	3.10	−14.5%

€9 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	4.46	4.13	3.25
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.63	3.47	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	2.00	1.95	2.02
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	1.93	1.88	1.87
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	2.07	1.99	1.87
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.99	2.81	2.75
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.50	1.46	1.37
Both teams to score · No	—	2.30	2.16	1.97
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.77	1.73	1.69

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.