Ravenna – Campobasso

Serie C - Group B, Italy · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · full time 3-1 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.89	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.60	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.55	−3.1%
Betfair (net)	1.56	−2.6%

€199 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	5.41	6.81	6.13	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.51	4.37	4.13	3.70
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.89	1.60	1.56	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.57	1.83	1.77	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.64	2.20	2.11	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	5.27	3.16	2.94	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.23	1.46	1.44	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.01	2.81	2.60	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.33	1.55	1.52	1.46
Both teams to score · No	1.74	2.16	2.01	1.86
Both teams to score · Yes	2.36	1.86	1.84	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.