Jablonec B – Brozany

3. CFL - Group B, Czech-Republic · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · full time 3-1 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.05	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.48	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.42	−3.9%
Betfair (net)	1.49	+1.1%

€66 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.87	6.26	5.94	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.95	6.10	4.99	4.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.05	1.48	1.49	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.89	1.49	1.39	1.50
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.12	3.03	3.11	2.37
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.26	2.02	1.97	1.81
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.44	1.98	1.84	1.91
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.80	2.12	1.99	1.91
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.56	1.90	1.85	1.81

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.