Al Jandal – Al Okhdood

Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.30	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.40	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.28	−4.9%
Betfair (net)	2.35	−2.0%
bet365	2.10	−12.4%

€328 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.30	2.40	2.35	2.10
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.93	3.85	3.47	3.30
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.23	3.10	3.00	2.90
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.67	1.94	1.85	1.82
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.50	2.07	2.01	1.92
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.81	3.00	2.79	—
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.55	1.50	1.48	—
Both teams to score · No	2.67	2.26	2.22	—
Both teams to score · Yes	1.60	1.79	1.71	—

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.