Al-Ula – Al Jeel

Division 1, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.31	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.15	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.13	−1.6%
Betfair (net)	1.13	−1.2%
bet365	1.13	−1.5%

€365 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	19.53	26.68	34.25	12.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.32	10.99	8.60	7.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.31	1.15	1.13	1.13
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.38	1.55	1.51	1.41
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.72	2.82	2.63	2.62
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.70	2.43	2.29	—
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.27	1.70	1.66	—
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.15	2.37	2.22	—
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.47	1.73	1.69	—
Both teams to score · No	1.37	1.54	1.48	—
Both teams to score · Yes	3.72	2.86	2.63	—

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.