Lamphun Warrior – Bangkok Utd

Thai League 1, Thailand · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.32	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.95	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.88	−3.9%
Betfair (net)	1.89	−3.1%
bet365	1.87	−4.3%

€122 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.32	1.95	1.89	1.87
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.41	3.83	3.61	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.63	4.41	4.23	3.50
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.20	2.02	1.93	1.92
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.83	1.98	1.92	1.82
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.57	3.11	2.84	2.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.39	1.48	1.45	1.41
Both teams to score · No	2.06	2.12	2.04	1.87
Both teams to score · Yes	1.95	1.89	1.80	1.77

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.