IR Tanger – Maghreb Fez

Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · full time 2-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.89	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.75	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.56	−6.8%
Betfair (net)	2.67	−2.7%
bet365	2.75	+0.1%

€57 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.35	2.59	2.46	2.25
Full time 1X2 · Draw	2.89	2.75	2.67	2.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	4.37	4.01	3.71	3.10
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.29	2.87	2.71	2.60
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.44	1.53	1.49	1.44
Both teams to score · No	1.64	1.88	1.79	1.62
Both teams to score · Yes	2.57	2.14	2.04	2.05

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.