Berkane – Renaissance Zemamra

Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · full time 2-2 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.79	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.68	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.61	−4.2%
Betfair (net)	1.58	−5.8%
bet365	1.51	−9.9%

€116 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	6.54	7.19	5.75	6.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.48	3.78	3.56	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.79	1.68	1.58	1.51
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.55	2.41	2.23	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.65	1.71	1.63	1.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.94	3.61	3.33	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.34	1.38	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score · No	1.71	1.73	1.62	1.57
Both teams to score · Yes	2.41	2.37	2.12	2.15

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.