Hassania Agadir – FAR Rabat

Botola Pro, Morocco · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · full time 2-2 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.79	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.30	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.02	−8.6%
Betfair (net)	3.23	−2.2%
bet365	3.25	−1.6%

€61 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

Venue	Opened	Lasted	Peak vs fair	€ at best price	Price taken	vs Pinnacle close	Result
Betfair	-100 min	15 min	+3.4%	€15	3.23	−2.2%	won

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.78	1.90	1.84	1.77	0
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.79	3.30	3.23	3.25	15
Full time 1X2 · Home	5.70	5.90	5.08	3.90	0
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.00	2.12	2.08	1.97	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.00	1.90	1.79	1.77	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.73	3.26	3.00	2.75	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.58	1.44	1.41	1.37	0
Both teams to score · No	2.04	2.12	1.95	1.80	0
Both teams to score · Yes	1.96	1.89	1.87	1.80	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.