ES Setif – Kabylie

Ligue 1, Algeria · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.46	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.93	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.62	−7.8%
Betfair (net)	3.33	−15.3%
bet365	3.40	−13.4%

€12 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.46	3.93	3.33	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.26	2.92	2.77	2.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.47	2.48	2.33	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.02	3.10	2.90	2.75
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.50	1.48	1.38	1.37
Both teams to score · No	1.68	1.66	1.60	1.46
Both teams to score · Yes	2.48	2.51	2.20	2.45

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.