Suwon Bluewings – Ansan Greeners

K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 05:00 UTC · full time 4-1 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.38	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.23	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.21	−1.8%
Betfair (net)	1.22	−1.1%
bet365	1.17	−5.0%

€1369 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	10.33	15.34	14.30	9.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.66	8.13	7.46	5.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.38	1.23	1.22	1.17
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.72	1.47	1.46	1.44
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.39	3.13	2.90	2.60
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.80	2.21	2.16	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.56	1.82	1.74	1.68
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.08	2.23	2.08	1.98
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.48	1.81	1.77	1.73
Both teams to score · No	1.87	1.94	1.82	1.79
Both teams to score · Yes	2.15	2.06	2.06	1.79

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.