Juventude – Sao Bernardo

Serie B Superbet, Brazil · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · full time 2-2 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.97	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.62	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.58	−2.2%
Betfair (net)	1.58	−2.5%
bet365	1.53	−5.6%

€387 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	5.03	7.72	7.08	6.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.39	3.95	3.80	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.97	1.62	1.58	1.53
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.35	2.63	2.42	2.20
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.43	1.61	1.62	1.53
Over/under 3.5 · Over	7.90	5.61	4.89	3.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.15	1.22	1.22	1.22
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	5.08	3.83	3.56	3.40
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.25	1.35	1.32	1.27
Both teams to score · No	1.52	1.62	1.64	1.53
Both teams to score · Yes	2.92	2.60	2.37	2.20

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.