Cuiaba – Avai

Serie B Superbet, Brazil · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 21:30 UTC · full time 0-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.03	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.68	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.63	−3.4%
Betfair (net)	1.60	−5.0%
bet365	1.57	−6.7%

€200 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.58	6.81	5.94	6.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.46	3.86	3.56	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.03	1.68	1.60	1.57
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.06	2.38	2.23	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.49	1.72	1.68	1.57
Over/under 3.5 · Over	6.87	4.83	4.42	4.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.17	1.26	1.22	1.19
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.73	3.55	3.14	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.27	1.39	1.31	1.30
Both teams to score · No	1.60	1.75	1.68	1.57
Both teams to score · Yes	2.67	2.33	2.08	2.15

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.