Criciuma – America MG

Serie B Superbet, Brazil · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · full time 1-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.69	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.30	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.28	−1.6%
Betfair (net)	1.29	−0.3%
bet365	1.30	+0.2%

€226 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	6.64	15.40	12.88	11.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.90	6.08	5.66	4.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.69	1.30	1.29	1.30
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.88	1.91	1.84	1.78
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.53	2.09	2.05	1.93
Over/under 3.5 · Over	6.27	3.46	3.19	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.19	1.41	1.40	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.40	3.02	2.71	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.29	1.50	1.49	1.41
Both teams to score · No	1.53	1.68	1.65	1.53
Both teams to score · Yes	2.88	2.48	2.35	2.20

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.