Gremio – Internacional

Serie A Betano, Brazil · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 20:30 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.58	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.39	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.20	−5.5%
Betfair (net)	3.28	−3.1%
bet365	3.20	−5.5%

€1181 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.66	2.80	2.69	2.65
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.58	3.39	3.28	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.24	2.88	2.75	2.65
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.27	2.28	2.14	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.79	1.78	1.76	1.68
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.35	4.39	4.04	4.33
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.30	1.29	1.28	1.19
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.00	3.38	3.23	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.50	1.42	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score · No	1.97	2.04	2.01	1.91
Both teams to score · Yes	2.03	1.96	1.86	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.