S. Rzeszow – Lechia Gdansk

Division 1, Poland · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · full time 1-2 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.00	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.57	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.46	−4.2%
Betfair (net)	2.52	−1.9%
bet365	2.35	−8.5%

€211 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.00	2.57	2.52	2.35
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.40	4.16	3.71	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.68	2.70	2.62	2.45
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.49	1.61	1.58	1.49
Over/under 2.5 · Under	3.05	2.64	2.44	2.32
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.20	2.52	2.44	2.20
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.83	1.66	1.58	1.53
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.61	2.45	2.25	2.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.62	1.69	1.67	1.54

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.