Odra Opole – Legnica

Division 1, Poland · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · full time 1-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.26	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.35	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.18	−5.1%
Betfair (net)	3.33	−0.7%
bet365	3.20	−4.5%

€6 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.53	3.06	2.82	2.65
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.26	3.35	3.33	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.36	2.67	2.52	2.32
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.61	1.86	1.81	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.62	2.17	2.06	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	5.40	3.26	2.95	3.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.23	1.44	1.42	1.33
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.84	2.89	2.69	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.35	1.53	1.50	1.46
Both teams to score · No	1.84	2.63	2.29	2.15
Both teams to score · Yes	2.19	1.61	1.65	1.57

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.