St. Gallen – Lausanne

Super League, Switzerland · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · full time 1-0 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	4.80	ref
Pinnacle fair	7.59	ruler
Pinnacle offered	6.92	−8.9%
Betfair (net)	7.46	−1.7%
bet365	7.50	−1.2%

€62 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.80	7.59	7.46	7.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.33	5.84	5.28	4.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.78	1.43	1.41	1.37
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.82	1.47	1.44	1.37
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.22	3.14	3.01	2.87
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.07	2.21	2.12	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.48	1.83	1.78	1.68
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.99	2.23	2.08	1.96
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.50	1.81	1.79	1.68
Both teams to score · No	2.20	2.50	2.31	2.15
Both teams to score · Yes	1.84	1.67	1.66	1.57

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.