Mladost – OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet

Serbia, Serbia · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · full time 0-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.10	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.55	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.39	−6.2%
Betfair (net)	2.54	−0.4%
bet365	2.25	−11.7%

€10 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.77	3.17	3.00	2.85
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.17	3.42	3.14	3.30
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.10	2.55	2.54	2.25
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.42	2.26	2.08	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.70	1.79	1.77	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.69	3.46	3.14	3.00
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.37	1.41	1.38	1.33
Both teams to score · No	1.97	2.07	2.06	1.79
Both teams to score · Yes	2.04	1.93	1.82	1.79

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.