Mladost vs OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
Serbia, Serbia · 2026-10-12 · 20:00 CET
LWLWD
LDLLDThe score model made an OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet win the most likely outcome at 36%, with under 2.5 goals more likely than not (Over 2.5 at 41%). It finished 0:0 (HT 0:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Mladost 1.13 – 1.21 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost win | 32.3% | 32.9% | -0.7% | ✗ |
| Draw | 31.6% | 29.2% | +2.4% | ✓ |
| OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet win | 36.2% | 37.9% | -1.7% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.4% | — | — | ✗ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.3% | 45.0% | -3.8% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.7% | 25.6% | -4.8% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 49.1% | 51.1% | -2.0% | ✗ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.5% | — | — | ✗ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 27.1% | 31.8% | -4.6% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Mladost 44.9 / OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 38.9 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.