Queen's Park – Inverness

Championship, Scotland · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · full time 2-1 (HT 2-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.88	ref
Pinnacle fair	5.53	ruler
Pinnacle offered	5.05	−8.6%
Betfair (net)	5.08	−8.0%
bet365	4.50	−18.6%

€13 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.32	1.78	1.74	1.61
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.21	3.90	3.75	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.88	5.53	5.08	4.50
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.33	2.11	1.95	1.96
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.75	1.90	1.90	1.76
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.52	3.89	3.50	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.28	1.35	1.34	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.31	3.25	2.86	2.70
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.43	1.44	1.44	1.37
Both teams to score · No	2.00	1.96	1.92	1.76
Both teams to score · Yes	2.00	2.04	1.90	1.86

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.